Underwriters as Oracles: What the Return of War Risk Premiums Reveals About the New Global Economy

The Number That Speaks Before Diplomacy Does Something fundamental has shifted in how the global economy prices danger, and the clearest evidence sits in a document most executives skim: the insurance schedule. War-risk premiums, for decades a rounding error tucked into specialized sub-schedules of risk-transfer programs, have surged across the main arteries of commerce. Hull […]

The Typhoon of Silicon: Why Your Risk Committee Is Still Fighting the Last War

A Destroyer That Sailed and Computed at the Same Time On the morning of August 18, 2020, the guided-missile destroyer USS Mustin pushed into the northern mouth of the Taiwan Strait, its five-inch gun angled southward in the old grammar of naval sovereignty. To a strategist trained in the nineteenth century, the ship’s meaning could […]